Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.050514 0.054904 0.059353 0.064192 0.069300 0.074524 0.080264
2025-05-25 0.042162 0.048464 0.055092 0.062554 0.070695 0.079280 0.088990
2025-06-01 0.036191 0.043775 0.052019 0.061585 0.072316 0.083921 0.097359
2025-06-08 0.033114 0.041855 0.051631 0.063260 0.076604 0.091327 0.108691
2025-06-15 0.030298 0.039901 0.050922 0.064331 0.080028 0.097653 0.118767
2025-06-22 0.027742 0.037984 0.050029 0.064989 0.082821 0.103155 0.127850
2025-06-29 0.025265 0.035934 0.048779 0.065048 0.084770 0.107581 0.135633
2025-07-06 0.024019 0.035289 0.049130 0.066948 0.088845 0.114467 0.146291
2025-07-13 0.021813 0.033243 0.047596 0.066404 0.089867 0.117662 0.152552
2025-07-20 0.020173 0.031810 0.046723 0.066586 0.091697 0.121770 0.159873
2025-07-27 0.019036 0.030962 0.046529 0.067561 0.094465 0.126991 0.168531
2025-08-03 0.018274 0.030567 0.046879 0.069200 0.098046 0.133207 0.178425
2025-08-10 0.015964 0.027881 0.044095 0.066707 0.096375 0.132978 0.180523
2025-08-17 0.014571 0.026415 0.042881 0.066214 0.097215 0.135843 0.186427
2025-08-24 0.013319 0.025069 0.041756 0.065775 0.098077 0.138709 0.192332
2025-08-31 0.012950 0.025035 0.042456 0.067807 0.102188 0.145714 0.203459
2025-09-07 0.012375 0.024638 0.042609 0.069067 0.105273 0.151426 0.212998
2025-09-14 0.011698 0.024031 0.042418 0.069824 0.107673 0.156263 0.221453
2025-09-21 0.010891 0.023153 0.041784 0.069918 0.109156 0.159905 0.228398
2025-09-28 0.010647 0.023192 0.042503 0.071930 0.113250 0.166963 0.239751
2025-10-05 0.009769 0.022094 0.041454 0.071366 0.113793 0.169365 0.245126
2025-10-12 0.009139 0.021379 0.040953 0.071560 0.115358 0.173101 0.252227
2025-10-19 0.008746 0.021053 0.041032 0.072588 0.118072 0.178357 0.261315